Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev sib kis hauv ob xyoos dhau los tau ua rau"Black Friday" ntsiag to, thiab qhib classic ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas" Dub Friday" xyoo dhau los zoo li yuav ploj mus ib txhis. Christmas tab tom los txog, tab sis cov khoom lag luam xa khoom tsis sib xws los ntawm qhov chaw nres nkoj congestion thiab tsis txaus ntawm cov neeg tsav tsheb tseem txuas ntxiv mus, thiab txawm tias Tesla tuaj yeem' tsis zaum. Nyob rau lub sijhawm tsis ntev los no, ntau tus neeg Asmeskas Tesla cov neeg siv khoom tau ntsib ntau lub hlis ntawm kev xa khoom qeeb, uas ua rau lawv them rau lub tsheb xauj thiab caij tsheb thauj khoom tawm ntawm lawv lub hnab ris. Cov teeb meem kev xa khoom tau cuam tshuam rau Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom lag luam rau lub sijhawm ntev.
Tom qab qhov kev xa khoom qeeb yog txuas ntxiv cov kev txwv chaw nres nkoj thiab nce nqi tsheb thauj mus los. Dab tsi' qhov kev txhawj xeeb ntau dua yog tias qhov xwm txheej no tsis pom muaj kev cuam tshuam. Deutsche Bank' qhov kev tshuaj xyuas qhia tau hais tias qhov nruab nrab lub thawv nqi ntawm Maersk thiab HapagLloyd, lub ntiaj teb' ob lub tuam txhab xa khoom loj tshaj plaws, yuav nce 30% hauv 2022.
& quot; Washington Post" xam phaj tus cev lus ntawm American Santa Claus Clothing Company hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom tsis ntev los no. Lub tuam txhab Ameslikas tau npaj yuav tuaj txog lub Yim Hli thiab tsis muaj xov xwm txog kev ncua ntawm cov khoom." Muaj ntau yam khoom xav tau tseem ntsia rau hauv hiav txwv. Hauv lub thawv".
Nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ib Hlis, tus naj npawb ntawm cov nkoj queuing nyob rau hauv berthing thiab tos cheeb tsam ntawm ob lub qhov rooj loj ports nyob rau sab hnub poob ntug dej hiav txwv ntawm lub tebchaws United States, qhov chaw nres nkoj ntawm Los Angeles thiab qhov chaw nres nkoj ntawm Long Beach nyob rau hauv California, mus txog 83. [GG ] quot; Qhov no yog qhov kev cuam tshuam loj tshaj plaws ntawm ib qho khoom lag luam uas peb tau ntsib. Lub peev xwm thauj khoom tam sim no tsuas yog 50% -60% ntawm qhov muaj peev xwm ua ntej kis mob." Matt Gordon, CEO ntawm Centerline Logistics hais.
Txhawm rau ntxiv cov khoom xa tuaj, ntau lub tuam txhab yuav tsum xaiv lwm txoj kev-cua thauj khoom. Lub chaw tsim khoom ua si menyuam roj hmab Ty tau chartered ntau tshaj 150 lub davhlau ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Tebchaws Meskas, ya 9,700 mais kev thauj khoom, thiab tus nqi ntawm txhua lub davhlau yog nyob nruab nrab ntawm 1.5 lab thiab 2 lab US dollars.
Qhov tseeb, ntau lub tuam txhab twb tau ntsib qhov teeb meem ntawm kev ncua kev ya davhlau thiab nqi nce. Piv txwv li, lub koom haum shipping THE Alliance npaj yuav ncua ib lub hlis twg ntawm Asia-Europe txoj kev nyob rau hauv thaum ntxov Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, thiab lwm lub tuam txhab German shipping Hapag-Lloyd npaj yuav nce tus nqi ntawm txoj kev no los ntawm 70%. Noj ib lub thawv nrog qhov ntev ntawm 40 ko taw raws li qhov ntsuas thoob ntiaj teb raws li qhov piv txwv, txij lub Kaum Ob Hlis 1st, Hapag-Lloyd' s FAK (cov khoom thauj tsis zoo) los ntawm Asia mus rau Northern Europe yuav nce los ntawm US $ 2,000 rau US $4,890.
Tsis tas li ntawd, cov nqi thauj khoom nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Asia kuj tau nce siab, thiab lub thawv ntim khoom nyuaj tau pib tshwm sim hauv qee qhov chaw nres nkoj Esxias sab hnub tuaj. Raws li kev sib txuas ntawm qee cov tuam txhab xa khoom xa khoom lag luam thiab cov ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab tau nce nqi ntawm ntau lub tuam txhab shipping, hiav txwv freight nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Asia tab tom pib tawm! Nws tau tshaj tawm tias vim li cas qhov kev nce siab tuaj yeem cuam tshuam nrog kev tshem tawm ntau lub davhlau hauv South Asia. Cov laj thawj rau kev nce nqi hauv kev lag luam tsis ntev los no yog raws li hauv qab no:
US shipping kab kuj muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev ncua loj. Vim yog qhov chaw nres nkoj congestion, Wanhai Shipping tau hais ua ntej tias nws tab tom hloov nkoj los ntawm nws txoj kev rau Asia-Western US txoj kev mus rau nws txoj hauv kev hauv Asia. Zim tau ua haujlwm nrog Wanhai txhawm rau hloov cov nkoj ntawm Asia-US West Coast txoj kev thiab ncua nws txoj kev xa tawm mus rau Los Angeles tsawg kawg yog xya lub lis piam.
Cov hauv qab no yog daim ntawv ceeb toom nce nqi tshaj tawm lub lim tiam no los ntawm CMA CGM's CNC, uas tsom mus rau Asian lag luam:
Los ntawm Shekou Chaw nres nkoj mus rau Bangkok thiab Laem Chabang Chaw nres nkoj hauv Thaib teb, tus nqi nce los ntawm USD350/700/700
Los ntawm Shekou mus rau Incheon, Busan thiab lwm qhov chaw nres nkoj, tus nqi ncaj qha nce yuav yog USD500/1000/1000
Kev nce nqi tsheb thauj mus los tau teeb meem rau cov neeg xa khoom thiab xa tawm rau ntau tshaj ib xyoos. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm lub vev xaib logistics Freightos, tus nqi xauj tsev rau cov khoom thauj los ntawm Asia tau nce siab hauv xyoo dhau los. Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm 40-foot thawv los ntawm Tuam Tshoj mus rau Northern Europe tau nce los ntawm ib ncig ntawm US $ 2,000 rau US $ 14,000.
Thiab qhov kev loj hlob zoo li no yuav ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau dua rau cov lag luam thiab ntxiv cov nqi nce ntxiv vim qhov tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm qhov kev xav tau nce ntxiv thiab cov khoom siv thauj khoom tiag tiag. United Nations Conference on Trade thiab Development (UNCTAD) tau sau nyob rau hauv lub nyuam qhuav luam tawm" Maritime Review of 2021" tshaj tawm hais tias ua ntej muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov khoom siv hauv hiav txwv, kev txwv chaw nres nkoj thiab cov teeb meem ntawm qhov chaw nres nkoj tsis muaj peev xwm raug daws, nyob rau xyoo tom ntej, cov neeg siv khoom thoob ntiaj teb yuav qhov ntsuas tus nqi yuav nce siab.
Raws li United Nations Trade thiab Development Council, yuav luag tag nrho cov thawv thauj khoom tau teeb tsa cov ntaub ntawv rau cov thawv thauj khoom. Yog tias theem tam sim no ntawm cov thawv thauj khoom txuas ntxiv mus rau lub sijhawm ntev, los ntawm 2023, cov khoom siv thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem nce ntxiv los ntawm 11% ntawm qib tam sim no, thiab tus nqi siv khoom lag luam yuav nce 1.5%.
Daim ntawv tshaj tawm kuj tau hais tias cov thawv thauj khoom nce siab yuav nce cov nqi tsim khoom, yog li nce tus nqi ntawm cov khoom thiab cov kev pabcuam, thiab muaj kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau kev lag luam hauv lub tebchaws, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog rau cov tebchaws me thiab cov tebchaws tsis muaj kev tsim kho uas muaj kev vam meej ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev tsim khoom. . Cov nqi thauj khoom siab kuj tseem yuav cuam tshuam rau cov khoom lag luam qis-nqi ntxiv xws li rooj tog zaum, textiles, khaub ncaws thiab khoom tawv. Kev tsim khoom ntawm cov khoom lag luam no feem ntau yog tawg mus rau hauv cov kev lag luam uas tsis muaj nyiaj tsawg nyob deb ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lag luam loj. UNCTAD kwv yees tias cov neeg siv khoom tus nqi hauv cov pawg no yuav nce 10.2%.
Txawm hais tias tus nqi siab, cov khw muag khoom twb tau ua haujlwm hnyav rau cov khoom muag. Cov neeg tsim khoom khau thiab khaub ncaws xws li Nike, Adidas, Hasbro, Levi' s, thiab UA kuj tau xaiv los siv kev thauj huab cua es tsis txhob thauj dej hiav txwv kom hla cov chaw nres nkoj hauv Tebchaws Meskas.
Raws li kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov saw hlau cuam tshuam, lwm qhov tshwm sim ntawm cov khoom luv luv yog tus nqi nce. KPMG tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Linda Ellet tau hais tias kev nce nqi yuav cuam tshuam rau cov txiaj ntsig, thiab cov teeb meem ntawm cov khoom siv yuav cuam tshuam rau cov khoom muag, tawm hauv chav rau kev tshaj tawm loj. Tsis tshuav ntau. Aurelian Ditohit, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam loj ntawm Allianz Research, tau muab cov duab ntxhib. Raws li kev kwv yees, thaum lub sij hawm" Dub Tsib" lub sijhawm xyoo no, cov neeg siv khoom xav kom them 5% -17% ntau dua rau cov khoom ua si, khaub ncaws, khoom siv hauv tsev, thiab lwm yam. tus nqi ntawm.
Tam sim no, qhov tshwm sim ntawm ib hom tshiab ntawm" Omi Keron" tau exacerbated kev txhawj xeeb txog kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb rov qab los. Wang Peng, tus kws tshaj lij ntawm Renmin University of China, ntseeg tias yog tus kab mob kis mus rau qhov loj, nws yuav cuam tshuam rau lub ntiaj teb cov saw hlau thiab ntau qhov chaw tsim khoom hauv cov khoom lag luam, thiab qee yam khoom thiab qee cov khoom lag luam chains yuav tshwm sim hauv. lub sij hawm luv. Kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau. Cov huab cua huab cua ntau dua thiab muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev kis tus kabmob tshiab tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam hauv cov saw hlau ntxiv.
Lub siab freight twb tau nyiam cov saib xyuas ntawm cov koom haum cuam tshuam. Vim qhov nce nyiaj tau los ntau hauv lub hlis tsis ntev los no, cov tuam txhab thauj khoom tau raug liam tias muaj kev sib koom ua ke ntawm cov nqi. Cov European Commission, Asmeskas cov tub ceev xwm thiab UK kev sib tw saib xyuas kev lag luam yog txhua tus tshuaj xyuas kev lag luam, tab sis tseem tsis tau nqis tes ua.
Ntau tus neeg kuj tseem sim daws qhov teeb meem. Esben Poulsson, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm International Chamber of Shipping, tau hais hauv kev xam phaj lub lim tiam dhau los hais tias cov thawv ntim khoom tshiab tau tsim ua kom zoo thiab yuav nthuav dav lub peev xwm uas twb muaj lawm hauv 24-36 lub hlis tom ntej.
Txawm li cas los xij, Poulsson kuj tau hais tias tseem muaj qee qhov teeb meem nyob rau hauv kev lag luam xa khoom, thiab nws nyuaj rau kev rov ua haujlwm li qub. Piv txwv li, kev ua haujlwm tsis txaus ua rau nws nyuaj rau cov neeg caij nkoj xa mus thiab kev nce qib ntawm seafarers' Kev txhaj tshuaj puv puv tau qeeb heev. Nws tau nkag siab tias vim tias feem ntau lub tebchaws tseem siv cov kev txwv kev mus ncig los txwv kev kis tus kabmob tshiab, uas ua rau nws nyuaj rau qee tus neeg caij nkoj taug kev ntawm cov nkoj, chaw ua haujlwm thiab lub tebchaws nyob, nrog rau kev nyuaj ntawm kev hloov pauv, qee qhov haujlwm thauj mus los tsis tuaj yeem. ua kom tiav smoothly.
Poulsson tseem hais ntxiv tias thaum ntau lub tebchaws xav tau txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv COVID-19 tag nrho, cov tshuaj tiv thaiv COVID-19 muaj rau cov neeg caij nkoj muaj tsawg heev, uas ua rau qhov xwm txheej tsis zoo.
